Scottish Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 22, 2023 at 2pm UK

Easter Road Stadium

Hibernian
0 - 3
Hearts

Jeggo (18'), Bushiri (50')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ginnelly (10'), Shankland (72'), Sibbick (90+6')
McKay (19'), Cochrane (27'), Shankland (50'), Ginnelly (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Cup clash between Hibernian and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions

Last Game: Hibernian 2-2 Dundee Utd
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Hearts 5-0 Aberdeen
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts head into Sunday's Edinburgh derby as favourites considering their strong run of form and recent head-to-head record against rivals Hibs. The hosts will hope that Nisbet can continue his scoring run, but the visitors have a goal machine of their own in Shankland and we can see the Jam Tarts coming out on top to progress to the fifth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hibernian	Draw	Hearts
44.4% ( -0.14)	24.23% ( 0.05)	31.37% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 59.03% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.62% (

-0.21)

43.38% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.22% (

-0.2)

65.77% (

0.2)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.29% (

-0.14)

19.71% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.28% (

-0.23)

51.72% (

0.23)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52% (

-0.05)

26.48% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.34% (

-0.06)

61.66% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Hibernian 44.4%

Hearts 31.37%

Draw 24.23%

Hibernian	Draw	Hearts
2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.4%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.23%	1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.37%