MX23RW : Monday, December 23 10:33:14| >> :60:940:940:
Albion Rovers
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The Reigart Stadium
Ayr United

Albion Rovers
2 - 5
Ayr

Aitken (23' pen., 38')
Wilson (26')
Wilson (78')
FT(HT: 2-3)
McCowan (30'), Walsh (35'), Anderson (40', 82'), Zanatta (59')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Albion Rovers and Ayr United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 56.17%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Albion RoversDrawAyr United
22.07%21.76%56.17%
Both teams to score 59.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.44%39.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.1%61.9%
Albion Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6%31.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22%67.77%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02%13.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.52%41.48%
Score Analysis
    Albion Rovers 22.07%
    Ayr United 56.17%
    Draw 21.76%
Albion RoversDrawAyr United
2-1 @ 5.79%
1-0 @ 5.08%
2-0 @ 2.94%
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 22.07%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 5.7%
0-0 @ 4.39%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.76%
1-2 @ 9.84%
0-1 @ 8.64%
0-2 @ 8.5%
1-3 @ 6.46%
0-3 @ 5.57%
2-3 @ 3.74%
1-4 @ 3.18%
0-4 @ 2.74%
2-4 @ 1.84%
1-5 @ 1.25%
0-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 56.17%

Head to Head
Jul 21, 2018 3pm
Group Stage
Albion Rovers
0-2
Ayr
Forrest (15'), Bell (80')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Ayr
2-0
Albion Rovers
Moore (34'), McDaid (86')
Kerr (77')

McMullin (24'), Holmes (67')
Mar 20, 2018 7.45pm
Albion Rovers
2-3
Ayr
Hester (39'), Trouten (66')
Reid (35'), Fisher (63'), Trouten (78')
Moore (28'), Adams (36'), Shankland (75')
Adams (65')
Dec 2, 2017 3pm
Ayr
3-2
Albion Rovers
Moore (16'), Shankland (73'), Higgins (77')
Higgins (50'), Hart (64')
Higgins (25'), Trouten (75')
Aug 5, 2017 3pm
Albion Rovers
1-5
Ayr
Shields (87')
Reid (20'), Perry (35'), Davidson (54'), Holmes (71')
McDaid (2'), Moffat (34'), Moore (39', 70', 79')
Hart (61')
rhs 2.0
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