MX23RW : Friday, January 24 11:20:22| >> :600:3231701:3231701:
Edinburgh City
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Kelty Hearts

Edinburgh
3 - 5
Kelty Hearts

Mercer (4'), McLean (7', 20')
Mercer (33'), Murray (59')
FT(HT: 3-3)
Johnston (27', 49'), Daramola (42', 45+3'), Cunningham (54')
McCluskey (50'), Tidser (51'), Daramola (82')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Edinburgh City and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Edinburgh City

All competitions
Last Game: Edinburgh 1-4 Airdrieonians
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-3 Morton
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 45%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.

Result
Edinburgh CityDrawKelty Hearts
32.26% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 22.74% (0.014999999999997 0.01) 45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 64.92% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.16% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)35.83% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.08% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)57.91% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)22.29% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)55.75% (0.07 0.07)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)16.45% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.85% (-0.061 -0.06)46.14% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Edinburgh City 32.26%
    Kelty Hearts 45%
    Draw 22.74%
Edinburgh CityDrawKelty Hearts
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 5.51% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 32.26%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.67% (0.015 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 4.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.83% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 45%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Edinburgh
2-2
Kelty Hearts
Murray (46'), Shanley (59')
Darge (24'), Higginbotham (76')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Kelty Hearts
1-2
Edinburgh
Barjonas (72')
Robertson (29'), Jacobs (68')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Edinburgh
2-0
Kelty Hearts
Handling (6'), Crane (70')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Kelty Hearts
0-2
Edinburgh

Barjonas (68'), Forster (75')
Robertson (34'), See (90')
Robertson (40')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Edinburgh
1-1
Kelty Hearts
Shanley (66' pen.)
Stirling (51')
Barjonas (48')
Philp (69')
rhs 2.0
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