Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Edinburgh3 - 5Kelty Hearts
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Edinburgh City and Kelty Hearts.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Edinburgh 1-4 Airdrieonians
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-3 Morton
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 45%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
32.26% ( -0.01) | 22.74% ( 0.01) | 45% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 64.92% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.16% ( -0.08) | 35.83% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.08% ( -0.09) | 57.91% ( 0.09) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% ( -0.04) | 22.29% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.24% ( -0.07) | 55.75% ( 0.07) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.55% ( -0.03) | 16.45% ( 0.03) |