Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.