Scottish League One | Gameweek 36
May 6, 2023 at 3pm UK
Palmerston Park
QotS4 - 1Kelty Hearts
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Queen of the South and Kelty Hearts.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-3 QotS
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
55
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 2-1 Peterhead
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
38
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
56.61% ( -0.02) | 22.24% ( 0.01) | 21.15% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
