Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.