Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.