Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.