Morton

3 - 0

Stranraer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Stranraer win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.