Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.