Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 52.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Greenock Morton in this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
52.88% ( 0.12) | 23.59% ( -0.04) | 23.52% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 54.7% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.85% ( 0.11) | 46.14% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.55% ( 0.1) | 68.44% ( -0.11) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.58% ( 0.08) | 17.41% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.15% ( 0.15) | 47.85% ( -0.15) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.23% ( -0.01) | 33.76% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.57% ( -0.01) | 70.42% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.75% Total : 52.87% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 23.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |