MX23RW : Thursday, April 3 15:04:39| >> :600:9206758:9206758:
Montrose
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Links Park
Edinburgh City

Montrose
2 - 1
Edinburgh

Smith (7'), Lyons (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lawson (29')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Montrose and Edinburgh City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Montrose 1-1 Motherwell (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Edinburgh City

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Edinburgh 0-6 Partick
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 10.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 3-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.41%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.

Result
MontroseDrawEdinburgh City
74.42% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29) 14.72% (0.07 0.07) 10.86% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 58.9% (0.593 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.38% (0.331 0.33)27.61% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.73% (0.412 0.41)48.26% (-0.412 -0.41)
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)6.3% (-0.0191 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.29% (0.058999999999997 0.06)23.71% (-0.058 -0.06)
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.86% (0.62 0.62)37.14% (-0.621 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.07% (0.611 0.61)73.92% (-0.611 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Montrose 74.42%
    Edinburgh City 10.86%
    Draw 14.72%
MontroseDrawEdinburgh City
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.24% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 8.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.47% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-0 @ 5.7% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
4-1 @ 5.64% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.071 0.07)
5-0 @ 3.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 3.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.79% (0.051 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.55% (0.03 0.03)
6-0 @ 1.45% (-0.018 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 74.42%
1-1 @ 6.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.071 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.34% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 14.72%
1-2 @ 3.17% (0.047 0.05)
0-1 @ 2.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.15% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.05% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 10.86%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Edinburgh
1-0
Montrose
Marshall (62')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Montrose
3-0
Edinburgh
Watson (14', 24'), Quinn (43')
Callaghan (60')

Parker (79')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Edinburgh
1-5
Montrose
Waddell (33' og.)
Leitch (22'), Crane (27'), Ewen (66'), Hamilton (79'), Hamilton (80')
Graham (8'), Hester (19'), Gardyne (69' pen.), Thomson (72'), Brown (88')
Callaghan (27'), Gardyne (29')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Montrose
5-2
Edinburgh
Quinn (17'), Thomson (28', 45+1'), Hester (37'), Lyons (62')
Lyons (19'), Callaghan (89')
Hamilton (61'), Handling (81')
Spence (45+3'), Shanley (52'), McLean (76'), Hamilton (83')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Edinburgh
1-1
Montrose
Shanley (69')
McAllister (20' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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