Scottish League One | Gameweek 12

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ainslie Park Stadium

Edinburgh
1 - 5
Montrose

Waddell (33' og.)
Leitch (22'), Crane (27'), Ewen (66'), Hamilton (79'), Hamilton (80')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Graham (8'), Hester (19'), Gardyne (69' pen.), Thomson (72'), Brown (88')
Callaghan (27'), Gardyne (29')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Edinburgh City and Montrose.

Form, Standings, Stats

Edinburgh City

All competitions

Last Game: Edinburgh 3-2 Annan
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Montrose

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Montrose 0-3 Hamilton
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.

Result
Edinburgh City	Draw	Montrose
28.93% ( 0.47)	22.04% ( -0.01)	49.03% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 65.51% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.77% (

0.37)

34.23% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.88% (

0.42)

56.12% (

-0.41)

Edinburgh City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.54% (

0.48)

23.46% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.53% (

0.69)

57.47% (

-0.69)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.59% (

-0.01)

14.42% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.66% (

-0.03)

42.34% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Edinburgh City 28.93%

Montrose 49.03%

Draw 22.04%

Edinburgh City	Draw	Montrose
2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.93%	1-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.04%	1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.03%