Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
29.75% ( 0.03) | 23.1% ( 0) | 47.14% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 62.15% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.12% ( 0.01) | 38.88% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.8% ( 0.01) | 61.19% ( -0.01) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.72% ( 0.02) | 25.27% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.96% ( 0.03) | 60.03% ( -0.03) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.17% ( -0.01) | 16.82% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.19% ( -0.02) | 46.8% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.75% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.8% 1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 4.25% Total : 47.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 15 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |