Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 14.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
66.61% ( 0.99) | 18.55% ( -0.49) | 14.83% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 56.23% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.42% ( 1.28) | 36.58% ( -1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.27% ( 1.39) | 58.73% ( -1.39) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.82% ( 0.61) | 10.18% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.57% ( 1.37) | 33.43% ( -1.37) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.6% ( 0.17) | 37.4% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.82% ( 0.17) | 74.18% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.13) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.99% Total : 66.61% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.55% | 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.09% Total : 14.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |