We said: Partick Thistle 2-0 Arbroath
Arbroath have been struggling to score goals so far this season, and that is a situation that could cause them so problems in a knockout game such as this.
Partick Thistle have been performing well throughout the start of this campaign, and that is something that should lead to them taking the victory here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Partick Thistle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Partick Thistle.
0.65) 
-1.01) 
