Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2020 at 3pm UK

Palmerston Park

QotS
2 - 2
St Mirren

Shields (8'), Fitzpatrick (12')

FT
(aet)

McGrath (51'), Fraser (89')
Erhahon (76')

St Mirren win 4-2 on penalties

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Oct 10, 20:01

The Match

Match Report

The Premiership side trailed 2-0 after 12 minutes but took the game to penalties.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%).

Result
Queen of the South	Draw	St Mirren
40.67%	25.99%	33.33%

Both teams to score 53.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.45%

50.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.53%

72.47%

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.46%

24.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.99%

59.01%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26%

28.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42%

64.58%

Score Analysis

Queen of the South 40.67%

St Mirren 33.33%

Draw 25.99%

Queen of the South	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.67%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.33%