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Edinburgh City
Scottish League One Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 3, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Dumbarton

Edinburgh
4 - 1
Dumbarton

See (11', 71'), Buchanan (27' og.), Robertson (90+1')
McIntyre (45+5'), Robertson (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
MacLean (61')
Coverage of the Scottish League One Playoffs Semi-Finals clash between Edinburgh City and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Edinburgh City

Last Six:
Last Game: Annan 2-1 Edinburgh
Friday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Scottish League One Playoffs
Next Game: Airdrieonians vs. Edinburgh
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Dumbarton

Last Six:
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One Playoffs
Next Game: Dumbarton vs. Stirling
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.

Result
Edinburgh CityDrawDumbarton
45.14%24.52%30.34%
Both teams to score 57.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81%45.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46%67.54%
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87%20.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.6%52.4%
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96%28.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3%63.7%
Score Analysis
    Edinburgh City 45.14%
    Dumbarton 30.34%
    Draw 24.52%
Edinburgh CityDrawDumbarton
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 9.05%
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-0 @ 3.88%
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 45.14%
1-1 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.52%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-1 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.34%

How you voted: Edinburgh vs Dumbarton

Edinburgh City
54.5%
Draw
36.4%
Dumbarton
9.1%
11
Head to Head
May 20, 2021 7.35pm
Dumbarton
0-1
Edinburgh
See (52')
Henderson (8'), Hamilton (45+1'), Campbell (77')
Henderson (58')
May 17, 2021 7.35pm
Edinburgh
1-3
Dumbarton
McIntyre (44')
Thomson (58'), Black (64')
McGeever (53'), Brindley (66'), Neill (82')
Brindley (71')
rhs 2.0
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