Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-0 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.