Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
Result | ||
Stenhousemuir | Draw | Arbroath |
41.74% (![]() | 25.62% (![]() | 32.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.8% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.86% (![]() | 49.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.79% (![]() | 71.2% (![]() |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.63% (![]() | 23.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.66% (![]() | 57.34% (![]() |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.51% (![]() | 28.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.73% (![]() | 64.27% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Stenhousemuir | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 9.68% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.83% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 12.15% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.66% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.36% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.63% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 52 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 47 |
3 | Cove Rangers | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 40 |
5 | Kelty Hearts | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 35 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Montrose | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 29 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 27 |
10 | Dumbarton | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |