Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 53.58%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dumbarton | Draw | Annan Athletic |
53.58% ( 0.55) | 22.53% ( 0.02) | 23.89% ( -0.57) |
Both teams to score 58.74% ( -0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59% ( -0.68) | 41% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.61% ( -0.7) | 63.39% ( 0.7) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.69% ( -0.05) | 15.31% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.95% ( -0.1) | 44.04% ( 0.1) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.36% ( -0.84) | 30.64% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.12% ( -1) | 66.88% ( 1) |
Score Analysis |
Dumbarton | Draw | Annan Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 53.58% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.9% Total : 23.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |