Scottish League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
Dumbarton3 - 1Inverness
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Dumbarton and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arbroath 1-3 Dumbarton
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Inverness 1-0 Annan
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
46.04% ( 0.13) | 24.66% ( 0.13) | 29.3% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 56.4% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
