Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 37.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Dumbarton |
37.49% | 24.57% ( 0) | 37.93% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 59.33% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.36% ( -0.01) | 43.64% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.97% ( -0.01) | 66.03% ( 0.01) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.91% ( -0) | 23.09% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.07% ( -0) | 56.93% ( 0.01) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.14% ( -0) | 22.86% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.4% ( -0.01) | 56.6% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Dumbarton |
2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.49% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Cove Rangers | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 22 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 19 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |