Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 94.74%. A draw had a probability of 4.2% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 1.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.76%) and 2-0 (10.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.96%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (0.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.