Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.