Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Falkirk in this match.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Montrose |
50.58% ( -4.21) | 23.58% ( 1.42) | 25.84% ( 2.79) |
Both teams to score 57.25% ( -1.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.06% ( -3.71) | 43.94% ( 3.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.67% ( -3.73) | 66.32% ( 3.72) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.55% ( -2.8) | 17.45% ( 2.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.09% ( -5.13) | 47.91% ( 5.13) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% ( 0.27) | 30.65% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( 0.32) | 66.89% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Montrose |
2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.64) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.67) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.61) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.57) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.5) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.32) Other @ 3.81% Total : 50.58% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.83) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.82) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.54) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 1.01) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.62) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.96% Total : 25.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |