Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.