Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.