Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 49.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kelty Hearts in this match.