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Dumbarton
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 31
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Bet Butler Stadium
Stenhousemuir

Dumbarton
1 - 2
Stenhousemuir

Lynas (45+4')
Grant (26'), Wallace (30'), Love (45'), Gray (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reilly (71'), Orr (78')
Forbes (44')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Dumbarton and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dumbarton 0-1 Forfar
Wednesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-1 Forfar
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
DumbartonDrawStenhousemuir
46.24% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 24.33% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 29.43% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.6% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.22% (0.018999999999998 0.02)44.78% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.86% (0.018999999999998 0.02)67.14% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (0.010999999999996 0.01)19.49% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.63% (0.023000000000003 0.02)51.37% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.78% (0.002999999999993 0)64.22% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 46.24%
    Stenhousemuir 29.43%
    Draw 24.32%
DumbartonDrawStenhousemuir
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 46.24%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.32%
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 29.43%

Head to Head
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Stenhousemuir
1-1
Dumbarton
Yates (90+5')
Corbett (8'), Brown (40'), Crighton (78')
Love (45+2')
Wallace (73')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Stenhousemuir
1-3
Dumbarton
O'Reilly (72')
Yates (4'), Orr (60')
Orr (33' og.), McNiff (54'), Gray (90+1')
McKee (74'), Wallace (81'), Carswell (84')
Jul 13, 2021 7.45pm
Dumbarton
1-2
Stenhousemuir
MacLean (40')
Carswell (81')
Lyon (63'), Thomson (79')
Anderson (39')
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Dumbarton
1-2
Stenhousemuir
Barr (85')
Marsh (27'), McBrearty (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PeterheadPeterhead179442517831
2East FifeEast Fife1793535181730
3Elgin CityElgin178542722529
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh167452320325
5Stirling AlbionStirling177282227-523
6Spartans165472023-319
7Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose177372126-518
8Clyde174672229-718
9StranraerStranraer164571519-417
10Forfar AthleticForfar163491423-913


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