Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterhead would win this match.