Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.