Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.

Result
Spartans	Draw	Dumbarton
45.25% ( 0.12)	24.35% ( -0.01)	30.41% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 58.12% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.64% (

-0.01)

44.36% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.26% (

-0.01)

66.74% (

0.01)

Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.26% (

0.05)

19.75% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.22% (

0.08)

51.78% (

-0.07)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.41% (

-0.08)

27.59% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.89% (

-0.1)

63.11% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Spartans 45.25%

Dumbarton 30.41%

Draw 24.35%

Spartans	Draw	Dumbarton
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 45.25%	1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.35%	1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.41%