Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round

Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK

The C&G Systems Stadium

Dumbarton
1 - 3
Kelty Hearts

Ruth (34')
Wallace (74')
Wallace (90+2'), Wallace (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lyon (11'), Biabi (16', 76')
Walker (29'), Biabi (90+1'), McCluskey (90+5')
Walker (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Dumbarton and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions

Scottish Challenge Cup

Last Game: Dumbarton 1-0 East Fife
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Goals
for

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-1 Annan
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Dumbarton	Draw	Kelty Hearts
43.14% ( 0.03)	24.62% ( -0)	32.24% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 58.07% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.19% (

-0.01)

44.81% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.83% (

-0.01)

67.17% (

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.14% (

0.01)

20.85% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.45% (

0.02)

53.54% (

-0.02)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37% (

-0.02)

26.63% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.14% (

-0.03)

61.86% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Dumbarton 43.14%

Kelty Hearts 32.24%

Draw 24.61%

Dumbarton	Draw	Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.71% Total : 43.14%	1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.61%	1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.24%