MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 21:28:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
Elgin City

Stenhousemuir
2 - 0
Elgin

Yates (3'), Aitken (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cameron (70')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stenhousemuir and Elgin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-1 East Fife
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 0-4 Spartans
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 68.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawElgin City
68.88% (0.739 0.74) 18.17% (-0.389 -0.39) 12.94% (-0.359 -0.36)
Both teams to score 52.17% (0.336 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.76% (0.959 0.96)39.24% (-0.965 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.42% (0.996 1)61.57% (-1.003 -1)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.65% (0.449 0.45)10.34% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.18% (1.014 1.01)33.82% (-1.02 -1.02)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.19% (0.079000000000001 0.08)41.8% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.73% (0.067999999999998 0.07)78.27% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 68.87%
    Elgin City 12.94%
    Draw 18.17%
StenhousemuirDrawElgin City
2-0 @ 11.12% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.248 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.42% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.34% (0.107 0.11)
4-0 @ 4.77% (0.148 0.15)
4-1 @ 4.16% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.054 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.17% (0.106 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.89% (0.098 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 68.87%
1-1 @ 8.56% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.17%
0-1 @ 3.77% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.65% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.23%
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 12.94%

Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Elgin
1-1
Stenhousemuir
MacEwan (86')
Draper (32'), Taylor (72'), Dolzanski (88')
Brown (29')
Dolzanski (82'), Jamieson (90')
Meechan (41')
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Elgin
1-1
Stenhousemuir
Reid (69')
Forbes (90+1')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stenhousemuir
2-0
Elgin
Brown (44'), Anderson (90+3')
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Elgin
2-1
Stenhousemuir
Dingwall (18'), Hester (45+1')
Sewell (40')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Stenhousemuir
3-3
Elgin
Miller (45'), Brown (51'), Crighton (84')
Hester (16', 70'), Dingwall (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1East FifeEast Fife117222591623
2Elgin CityElgin116501810823
3PeterheadPeterhead11632148621
4Stirling AlbionStirling116141413119
5Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose114251316-314
6Edinburgh CityEdinburgh113351518-312
7Spartans11245913-410
8StranraerStranraer11236814-69
9Forfar AthleticForfar11236714-79
10Clyde111641018-89


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