Scottish League Two | Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
Stenhousemuir2 - 0Elgin
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stenhousemuir and Elgin City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-1 East Fife
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Elgin 0-4 Spartans
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 68.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.
Result | ||
Stenhousemuir | Draw | Elgin City |
68.88% ( 0.74) | 18.17% ( -0.39) | 12.94% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 52.17% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.76% ( 0.96) | 39.24% ( -0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.42% ( 1) | 61.57% ( -1) |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.65% ( 0.45) | 10.34% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.18% ( 1.01) | 33.82% ( -1.02) |
Elgin City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.19% ( 0.08) | 41.8% ( -0.09) |