Elgin

2 - 1

Stenhousemuir

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Elgin City in this match.