Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Dumbarton	Draw	Stenhousemuir
39.47% ( -0.84)	26.08% ( 0.07)	34.45% ( 0.77)

Both teams to score 53.73% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.29% (

-0.16)

50.71% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.39% (

-0.14)

72.61% (

0.14)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76% (

-0.51)

25.24% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.01% (

-0.71)

59.99% (

0.71)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

0.4)

28.12% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.2% (

0.51)

63.8% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Dumbarton 39.47%

Stenhousemuir 34.45%

Draw 26.07%

Dumbarton	Draw	Stenhousemuir
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.54% Total : 39.47%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.45%

Head to Head

Aug 26, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 4

Stenhousemuir

2-4

Dumbarton

Aitken (55' pen., 90+7')
Buchanan (33'), Yates (51'), Jamieson (90'), Kirkpatrick (90+1')

Crighton (14'), MacLean (29', 30'), Hilton (42')
Crighton (20'), Long (52'), MacLean (65'), Pignatiello (75'), Wallace (90+1'), Gray (90+2')
Pignatiello (82')

Apr 1, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 31

Dumbarton

1-2

Stenhousemuir

Lynas (45+4')

Reilly (71'), Orr (78')

Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 17

Dumbarton

1-0

Stenhousemuir