Scottish League Two | Gameweek 13
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
Dumbarton1 - 0Elgin
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Dumbarton and Elgin City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: East Fife 0-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Elgin 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 11.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Elgin City win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
Result | ||
Dumbarton | Draw | Elgin City |
70.93% ( 1.26) | 17.08% ( -0.7) | 11.99% ( -0.56) |
Both teams to score 53.16% ( 0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.52% ( 1.93) | 36.48% ( -1.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.38% ( 2.08) | 58.62% ( -2.08) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.87% ( 0.8) | 9.13% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.02% ( 1.89) | 30.97% ( -1.89) |
Elgin City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.49% ( 0.38) | 41.5% ( -0.39) |