MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 07:59:43| >> :60:1103:1103:
Raith Rovers
Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 8, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stark's Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Raith Rovers
2 - 0
Dunfermline

Vaughan (64'), Ugwu (89')
Vaughan (14'), Davidson (62'), Spencer (67'), Matthews (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Henderson (76')

The Match

Match Report

Lewis Vaughan and Gozie Ugwu scored the goals in their play-off second leg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawDunfermline Athletic
39.04%25.4%35.56%
Both teams to score 56.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41%47.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21%69.8%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94%24.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67%58.33%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03%25.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02%60.98%
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 39.04%
    Dunfermline Athletic 35.56%
    Draw 25.4%
Raith RoversDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 8.9%
2-1 @ 8.55%
2-0 @ 6.34%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.07%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.04%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.42%
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-2 @ 5.68%
1-3 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 35.56%

Head to Head
May 4, 2021 7pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Dunfermline
0-0
Raith Rovers
Whittaker (26')
> Match Report
Mar 30, 2021 7.05pm
Gameweek 19
Raith Rovers
5-1
Dunfermline
Hendry (17'), Vaughan (31', 40'), Gullan (48', 77')
Vaughan (79')
O'Hara (22')
O'Hara (35'), Comrie (58'), Mayo (69'), Edwards (71'), McCann (78'), Murray (79')
> Match Report
Feb 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Dunfermline
4-1
Raith Rovers
McManus (44'), Comrie (50'), Murray (66', 87')
Wilson (62')
Spencer (64')
Abraham (39'), Tumilty (60')
> Match Report
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 6
Raith Rovers
2-2
Dunfermline
Duku (27'), Musonda (65')
Musonda (50'), Matthews (79'), Armstrong (89')
Murray (73'), McManus (74')
McInroy (28'), Mayo (48'), Wilson (54')
> Match Report
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Dunfermline
1-0
Raith Rovers
Higginbotham (49' pen.)
Talbot (64'), Higginbotham (67'), Wedderburn (84')

Thomson (15'), Skacel (73'), Barr (75'), Davidson (90')
rhs 2.0
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