Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.