Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
57.43% | 23.53% | 19.04% |
Both teams to score 48.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.88% | 51.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.03% | 72.97% |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.42% | 17.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.87% | 48.13% |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.94% | 41.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.39% | 77.61% |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 12.54% 2-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 5.63% 4-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.57% Total : 57.42% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.52% | 0-1 @ 6.42% 1-2 @ 4.97% 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |