Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberdeen in this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
55.25% | 24.61% | 20.13% |
Both teams to score 47.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.05% | 53.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.6% | 75.4% |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.55% | 19.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.7% | 51.3% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.5% | 41.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22% | 77.99% |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 13.21% 2-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 5.9% 3-1 @ 5.19% 4-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.24% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 7.1% 1-2 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.23% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |