Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.