Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
32.44% | 26.98% | 40.57% |
Both teams to score 50.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.22% | 54.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.91% | 76.08% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.56% | 31.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.18% | 67.81% |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.49% | 26.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.29% | 61.71% |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.44% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 11.06% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20 | 18 |
2 | Aberdeen | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 18 |
3 | RangersRangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Motherwell | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
6 | St Mirren | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 8 |
7 | Ross County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
8 | Dundee | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Hibernian | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 |
10 | St Johnstone | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 |
12 | Hearts | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |