Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 88.03%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 3.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 4-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.98%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (1.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
88.03% ( -2.11) | 8.42% ( 1.4) | 3.55% ( 0.71) |
Both teams to score 42.27% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.15% ( -3.65) | 25.85% ( 3.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.98% ( -4.86) | 46.02% ( 4.86) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.26% ( -0.84) | 3.74% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
83.99% ( -2.88) | 16.01% ( 2.89) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.91% ( 0.49) | 56.09% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.48% ( 0.28) | 88.52% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
3-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( 1.06) 4-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.55) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 1.09) 5-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.92) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.7) 4-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.23) 5-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.46) 6-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.83) 6-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.44) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.11) 7-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.55) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.12) 7-1 @ 1% ( -0.3) Other @ 3.62% Total : 88.02% | 1-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.68) 0-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.45% Total : 8.42% | 0-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.21) Other @ 1.18% Total : 3.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |