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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 27, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Celtic Park
Aberdeen logo

Celtic
5 - 0
Aberdeen

Furuhashi (27', 32'), Starfelt (78'), Oh (82', 90')
Starfelt (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Watkins (37'), Shinnie (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 4-2 Celtic
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-0 St Mirren
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Celtic 3-1 Aberdeen

Although Celtic have not been firing on all cylinders in recent weeks, the champions are expected to sign off with a relatively comfortable win over Aberdeen, who will likely struggle to deal with Celtic's attacking approach. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 88.03%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 3.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 4-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.98%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (1.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawAberdeen
88.03% (-2.108 -2.11) 8.42% (1.3971 1.4) 3.55% (0.714 0.71)
Both teams to score 42.27% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.15% (-3.654 -3.65)25.85% (3.657 3.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.98% (-4.857 -4.86)46.02% (4.862 4.86)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.26% (-0.84399999999999 -0.84)3.74% (0.847 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.99% (-2.883 -2.88)16.01% (2.886 2.89)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.91% (0.487 0.49)56.09% (-0.484 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.48% (0.28 0.28)88.52% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 88.02%
    Aberdeen 3.55%
    Draw 8.42%
CelticDrawAberdeen
3-0 @ 12.4% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 11.32% (1.06 1.06)
4-0 @ 10.19% (-0.55 -0.55)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.265 0.27)
1-0 @ 6.89% (1.094 1.09)
5-0 @ 6.7% (-0.915 -0.92)
2-1 @ 6.55% (0.698 0.7)
4-1 @ 5.9% (-0.226 -0.23)
5-1 @ 3.88% (-0.463 -0.46)
6-0 @ 3.67% (-0.828 -0.83)
6-1 @ 2.12% (-0.44 -0.44)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.106 0.11)
7-0 @ 1.73% (-0.553 -0.55)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.12% (-0.115 -0.12)
7-1 @ 1% (-0.301 -0.3)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 88.02%
1-1 @ 3.98% (0.682 0.68)
0-0 @ 2.1% (0.461 0.46)
2-2 @ 1.89% (0.228 0.23)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 8.42%
0-1 @ 1.21% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 1.15% (0.211 0.21)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 3.55%

How you voted: Celtic vs Aberdeen

Celtic
75.0%
Draw
15.0%
Aberdeen
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
gameweek 26
Celtic
4-0
Aberdeen
McGregor (2'), Hatate (13', 76'), Abada (89')
Dec 17, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 17
Aberdeen
0-1
Celtic

Clarkson (66')
McGregor (87')
Jul 31, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 1
Celtic
2-0
Aberdeen
Welsh (3'), Jota (75')
Taylor (81')

Kennedy (42'), Richardson (58')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Aberdeen
2-3
Celtic
Ramirez (56'), Ferguson (61')
Bates (49'), Gallagher (64')
Jota (16', 62'), O'Riley (20')
Jota (61')
Nov 28, 2021 3pm
gameweek 15
Celtic
2-1
Aberdeen
Jota (20'), McGregor (60')
McGregor (26'), Johnston (90')
Ferguson (33' pen.)
McCrorie (28')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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