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Scottish Premiership
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36
May 20, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Aberdeen logo

Hearts
2 - 1
Aberdeen

Ginnelly (43'), Shankland (56')
Devlin (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pollock (31')
Hayes (11'), Robson (12'), Watkins (25'), Miovski (49'), Ramadani (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Hearts
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen

All competitions
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 Hibernian
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 1-1 Aberdeen

 The home side have won each of the last five meetings between Hearts and Aberdeen, which bodes well for the former who need to claim maximum points to boost their hopes of securing third place. However, a tighter affair could be in store this time around and with little to separate the two teams, a score draw may be played out at Tynecastle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hearts in this match.

Result
HeartsDrawAberdeen
44.52% (-0.309 -0.31) 23.28% (0.517 0.52) 32.19% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 62.85% (-2.037 -2.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.47% (-2.629 -2.63)38.53% (2.63 2.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.17% (-2.838 -2.84)60.82% (2.839 2.84)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3% (-1.159 -1.16)17.7% (1.162 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (-2.048 -2.05)48.35% (2.049 2.05)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-1.378 -1.38)23.62% (1.38 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-2.027 -2.03)57.71% (2.029 2.03)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 44.52%
    Aberdeen 32.19%
    Draw 23.27%
HeartsDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.62 0.62)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.312 0.31)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.185 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 44.52%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.488 0.49)
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.502 0.5)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.21 -0.21)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.059 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.503 0.5)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.197 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.19%

How you voted: Hearts vs Aberdeen

Hearts
73.7%
Draw
21.1%
Aberdeen
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
gameweek 29
Aberdeen
3-0
Hearts
Lopes (5', 21'), Pollock (28')
Miovski (68'), Ramadani (68'), Watkins (90+3')

Shankland (37'), Hill (68'), Sibbick (68')
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 22
Hearts
5-0
Aberdeen
Shinnie (15' og.), Smith (28'), Shankland (40' pen.), Ginnelly (45+1'), Devlin (61')
Rowles (55')

Lopes (39')
Oct 16, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Aberdeen
2-0
Hearts
Lopes (74'), Besuijen (79')
Richardson (2')
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 29
Hearts
2-0
Aberdeen
Souttar (38'), Kingsley (60')
Devlin (67')

Brown (37')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 12
Aberdeen
2-1
Hearts
Watkins (49'), Ferguson (69')
McCrorie (59'), Campbell (82')
Souttar (45+2' pen.)
Woodburn (61'), Halkett (86')
Halliday (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock174581834-1617
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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