Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36

May 20, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
2 - 1
Aberdeen

Ginnelly (43'), Shankland (56')
Devlin (25')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pollock (31')
Hayes (11'), Robson (12'), Watkins (25'), Miovski (49'), Ramadani (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Hearts
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberdeen

All competitions

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 Hibernian
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

The home side have won each of the last five meetings between Hearts and Aberdeen, which bodes well for the former who need to claim maximum points to boost their hopes of securing third place. However, a tighter affair could be in store this time around and with little to separate the two teams, a score draw may be played out at Tynecastle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hearts in this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Aberdeen
44.52% ( -0.31)	23.28% ( 0.52)	32.19% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 62.85% (

-2.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.47% (

-2.63)

38.53% (

2.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.17% (

-2.84)

60.82% (

2.84)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.3% (

-1.16)

17.7% (

1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.64% (

-2.05)

48.35% (

2.05)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37% (

-1.38)

23.62% (

1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.29% (

-2.03)

57.71% (

2.03)

Score Analysis

Hearts 44.52%

Aberdeen 32.19%

Draw 23.27%

Hearts	Draw	Aberdeen
2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.91% Total : 44.52%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.5) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.27%	1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.5) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.19%