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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 32
Apr 16, 2023 at 12pm UK
Rugby Park
Celtic logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 4
Celtic

Donnelly (45')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Furuhashi (7'), Maeda (12'), O'Riley (18', 27')
Oh (71'), Johnston (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 3-2 Rangers
Saturday, April 8 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 0-3 Celtic

Although Kilmarnock have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, it will surely not be enough to trouble their next opponents. Celtic know that the title is within their reach, and we expect another ruthless performance for the Glasgow giants this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 75.26%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 9.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.03%) and 0-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawCeltic
9.25% (-0.3039 -0.3) 15.5% (-0.253 -0.25) 75.26% (0.556 0.56)
Both teams to score 48.55% (-0.35 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.86% (0.218 0.22)37.14% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.66% (0.235 0.23)59.34% (-0.234 -0.23)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.95% (-0.485 -0.48)47.05% (0.485 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.48% (-0.369 -0.37)82.52% (0.369 0.37)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.69% (0.176 0.18)8.32% (-0.1751 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71% (0.435 0.44)29% (-0.435 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 9.25%
    Celtic 75.26%
    Draw 15.5%
KilmarnockDrawCeltic
1-0 @ 2.95% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-1 @ 2.77% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-0 @ 1.11% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 9.25%
1-1 @ 7.34% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 15.5%
0-2 @ 12.1% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 10.03% (0.146 0.15)
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 7.56% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-4 @ 6.24% (0.143 0.14)
1-4 @ 4.7% (0.045 0.04)
0-5 @ 3.1% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-5 @ 2.34% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.77% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.29% (0.051 0.05)
1-6 @ 0.97% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 75.26%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Kilmarnock
9.5%
Draw
4.8%
Celtic
85.7%
21
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 5.30pm
Semi-Finals
Celtic
2-0
Kilmarnock
Maeda (18'), Giakoumakis (90+5')
Giakoumakis (90+6')

Armstrong (90+4')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Aug 14, 2022 12pm
Kilmarnock
0-5
Celtic

McKenzie (21'), Donnelly (42'), Lafferty (60'), Armstrong (78')
Furuhashi (7'), Jota (35'), Jenz (45+1'), Starfelt (76'), Giakoumakis (82')
Maeda (61'), McGregor (85')
Feb 2, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
0-4
Celtic

Tshibola (36')
Brown (29'), Edouard (52' pen., 62'), Ajeti (86')
Dec 13, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic66002002018
2Aberdeen6600124818
3RangersRangers6411104613
4Motherwell631297210
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd62319729
6St Mirren72231113-28
7Ross County7142712-57
8Dundee61321011-16
9Hibernian612359-45
10St Johnstone7115817-94
11Kilmarnock6033615-93
12Hearts7025412-82


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