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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 25, 2025 at 8pm UK
Celtic Park
Aberdeen logo

Celtic
5 - 1
Aberdeen

Maeda (24', 90+2'), Jota (30'), McGregor (45'), Yang (72')
McGregor (65')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Morris (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 2-1 Celtic
Saturday, February 22 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Celtic 2-1 Aberdeen

While Aberdeen will be boosted by their recent return to form, Celtic have not lost at home in the league this term and will be highly motivated to end their poor run of form, leading us to expect a home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 83.26%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 5.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 4-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.1%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 1-2 (1.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawAberdeen
83.26% (-0.67999999999999 -0.68) 10.99% (0.498 0.5) 5.76% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 48.66% (-1.278 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.33% (-1.987 -1.99)27.67% (1.994 1.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.66% (-2.529 -2.53)48.34% (2.536 2.54)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.2% (-0.45700000000001 -0.46)4.8% (0.464 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.62% (-1.426 -1.43)19.38% (1.432 1.43)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.11% (-1.087 -1.09)48.89% (1.095 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.12% (-0.79 -0.79)83.88% (0.798 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 83.26%
    Aberdeen 5.76%
    Draw 10.99%
CelticDrawAberdeen
3-0 @ 10.95% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 10.82% (0.62 0.62)
4-0 @ 8.31% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.84% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.74% (0.209 0.21)
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.622 0.62)
4-1 @ 5.95% (-0.234 -0.23)
5-0 @ 5.05% (-0.208 -0.21)
5-1 @ 3.61% (-0.268 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.105 -0.11)
6-0 @ 2.56% (-0.194 -0.19)
4-2 @ 2.13% (-0.154 -0.15)
6-1 @ 1.83% (-0.201 -0.2)
5-2 @ 1.29% (-0.14 -0.14)
7-0 @ 1.11% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 83.26%
1-1 @ 5.1% (0.298 0.3)
2-2 @ 2.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.35% (0.274 0.27)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 10.99%
1-2 @ 1.83% (0.053 0.05)
0-1 @ 1.68% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 5.76%

How you voted: Celtic vs Aberdeen

Celtic
Draw
Aberdeen
Celtic
82.4%
Draw
15.7%
Aberdeen
2.0%
51
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 15
Aberdeen
0-1
Celtic

Nisbet (24'), Shinnie (41'), Heltne Nilsen (45')
Hatate (78')
Valle (35')
Nov 2, 2024 5.30pm
Semi-Finals
Celtic
6-0
Aberdeen
Carter-Vickers (29'), Furuhashi (32'), Maeda (40', 49', 85'), Kuhn (59')
McGregor (25')

Rubezic (16'), Lopes (27'), Molloy (34'), Sokler (34'), Heltne Nilsen (60')
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Celtic
2-2
Aberdeen
Hatate (24'), Furuhashi (27')
McGregor (73')
Sokler (50'), Shinnie (60')
MacKenzie (29'), Thelin (30'), Clarkson (38'), Rubezic (46'), Lopes (55'), Heltne Nilsen (56')
Apr 20, 2024 12.30pm
Semi-Finals
Aberdeen
3-3
Celtic
(Aggregate 3-3 | Celtic win 6-5 on penalties)
Miovski (2'), Sokler (90'), MacDonald (119')
Sokler (90+1'), MacDonald (120+1'), Morris (120+3'), McGrath (120+4')
Kuhn (21'), Forrest (63'), O'Riley (105+1')
Kuhn (64')
Feb 3, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Aberdeen
1-1
Celtic
Miovski (50')
Shinnie (24'), McGrath (54'), Miovski (56')
Kuhn (63')
Nawrocki (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000097227581
2RangersRangers000068353366
3Hibernian000054411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd00004140150
5Aberdeen00004549-450
6St Mirren00004554-941
Relegation Group
1Hearts00004344-140
2Motherwell00003756-1939
3Kilmarnock00003858-2035
4Ross County00003356-2335
5Dundee00005071-2134
6St Johnstone00003358-2529
 
First Phase
1Celtic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
12St Johnstone3385203358-2529


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