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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 27
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Kilmarnock logo

Aberdeen
1 - 0
Kilmarnock

Dabbagh (90+1')
Palaversa (34'), Heltne Nilsen (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wales (18'), Lyons (45'), Murray (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Aberdeen
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 3-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Kilmarnock

Aberdeen will be boosted by their first league win since November, and given their favourable home record against Killie in recent years, we believe the hosts will secure a narrow victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 62.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberdeen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
62.63% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 21.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 16.08% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.74% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.4% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)46.6% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.13% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)68.87% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)14.28% (0.028 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.93% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)42.08% (0.052 0.05)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.03% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)41.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.59% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)78.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 62.62%
    Kilmarnock 16.08%
    Draw 21.29%
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.58% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 62.62%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.29%
0-1 @ 5.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 16.08%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

Aberdeen
80.0%
Draw
13.3%
Kilmarnock
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Kilmarnock
4-0
Aberdeen
Vassell (18'), Watson (59'), Cameron (87'), Anderson (90+3')

Heltne Nilsen (46'), Palaversa (62'), Rubezic (63'), J (67')
Aug 25, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Aberdeen
2-0
Kilmarnock
Gueye (23', 65')
McGrath (67'), Palaversa (90+2'), Rubezic (90+3')

Lyons (54')
Mar 9, 2024 12.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Aberdeen
3-1
Kilmarnock
McGrath (11'), Shinnie (33'), Findlay (66' og.)
MacKenzie (46'), McGrath (70'), Shinnie (90')
Armstrong (41')
Armstrong (62'), Wright (62')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Kilmarnock
2-0
Aberdeen
Ndaba (45+5'), Kennedy (58')
Armstrong (77')

Warnock (0')
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Aberdeen
0-1
Kilmarnock

Shinnie (45'), Hayes (65'), Gartenmann (82')
Watson (90+2')
McKenzie (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic29243287177075
2RangersRangers29185659263359
3Hibernian29111084440443
4Aberdeen29126113846-842
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd29118103636041
6Motherwell29114143448-1437
7Hearts29106134140136
8Ross County2998123149-1835
9St Mirren29104153547-1234
10Kilmarnock2987143347-1431
11Dundee2977154161-2028
12St Johnstone2974183254-2225


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