Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
51.91% ( -4.74) | 24.2% ( 1.05) | 23.89% ( 3.69) |
Both teams to score 53.16% ( 1.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.62% ( -0.28) | 48.38% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.48% ( -0.25) | 70.52% ( 0.26) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.38% ( -1.85) | 18.62% ( 1.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.08% ( -3.21) | 49.92% ( 3.21) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.33% ( 3.39) | 34.67% ( -3.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.6% ( 3.43) | 71.4% ( -3.43) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.54) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( -1.05) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.44) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.95) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.34) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.56) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.26% Total : 51.9% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.49) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.37) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.77) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.64) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.44) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.32) Other @ 2.11% Total : 23.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 50 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 30 |
7 | St Mirren | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 30 |
8 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
9 | Hearts | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 27 |
10 | Ross County | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 26 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 25 |
12 | St Johnstone | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 18 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |