Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Livingston |
45.64% ( 0) | 25.57% ( 0.01) | 28.79% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.1% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.51% ( -0.05) | 50.49% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.58% ( -0.05) | 72.42% ( 0.05) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% ( -0.02) | 22.1% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.53% ( -0.03) | 55.46% ( 0.03) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.16% ( -0.04) | 31.84% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.72% ( -0.04) | 68.27% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |