Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Livingston |
45.64% ( 0) | 25.57% ( 0.01) | 28.79% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.1% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.51% ( -0.05) | 50.49% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.58% ( -0.05) | 72.42% ( 0.05) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% ( -0.02) | 22.1% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.53% ( -0.03) | 55.46% ( 0.03) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.16% ( -0.04) | 31.84% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.72% ( -0.04) | 68.27% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |